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Threat Map

The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.

15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 71 incidents observed in 34 states.

When incidents were observed

Incidents observed each week for this threat. Only incidents with a date are shown.

  • Force and coercion 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Control of the process 1 threat, 8 incidents
  • Results and legitimacy 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Violence and threats 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Fraud and deception 0 threats, 0 incidents

Fraud and deception is shown at zero on purpose. Nothing is filed there yet, so an empty row is a gap in our list, not an all-clear.

012IncidentsOct 5Oct 12Oct 19Oct 26Nov 2Election DayToday
Show the numbers
When incidents were observed
Week beginningForce and coercionControl of the processResults and legitimacyViolence and threatsFraud and deceptionTotal
Oct 5, 2026010001
Oct 12, 2026010001
Oct 19, 2026020002
Oct 26, 2026000000
Nov 2, 2026000000

4 observed lines have no date yet, or are dated later, and are not shown.

These are the incidents we have observed and sourced, not a count of everything that has happened.

Active Control of the process Updated

Voter data collected and used to remove voters

Government demands full, unredacted voter rolls from states, sues those that refuse, and feeds the data into enforcement tools. The concern is that rolls are used to target or remove individual voters close to an election, not to run it.

What has happened

  • CBS News found armed HSI agents asking residents in several states about citizenship and voting. A federal judge ruled Oct. 21 it likely violates the Voting Rights Act and halted such visits to likely citizens in nine states through Election Day, stayed until 5 p.m. Oct. 23. Map stays at 4 states.
  • DOJ's California ballot case moves to Judge David O. Carter, who threw out DOJ's earlier California voter data suit in January. No ruling on DOJ's emergency request and no ballot set aside. No new state targeted today; observed states stay at 4.
  • LA County tells the court a 200-record sample of DOJ's California list found 112 canceled or inactive registrations and many U.S.-born voters. California says DHS never backed its 190,000 claim. No new state targeted; 4 states on the map.
  • Common Cause plaintiffs asked Judge Sooknanan for a status conference on whether DOJ's California letters and suit violate her October 9 order vacating the voter list program. DOJ lawyers say DHS reviewed California's public voter roll on its own, without SAVE, so the order does not apply.
  • DOJ sues California in federal court in Los Angeles to stop it counting those ballots. State officials say the demand violates the federal ban on purging voter rolls within 90 days of an election. No judge has been assigned.
  • DOJ sends California a list of about 20,000 voters it calls likely noncitizens and demands the state set aside their mail ballots within 48 hours. DOJ says Homeland Security Investigations built the list from state voter files and federal immigration data.
  • Records obtained by Democracy Forward show immigration enforcement ingested 50.6 million records from a Justice Department dataset that may include unredacted voter lists.

Where it has been observed

  • Illinois Developing
    • A state is sued by the Justice Department for refusing to hand over its voter rolls. Illinois, one of 24 states and DC sued

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