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Threat Map

The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.

15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 71 incidents observed in 34 states.

Where incidents are concentrated

Each state shows the incidents observed for this threat. A taller column is more incidents.

  • Force and coercion 1 threat, 6 incidents
  • Control of the process 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Results and legitimacy 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Violence and threats 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Fraud and deception 0 threats, 0 incidents

Fraud and deception is shown at zero on purpose. Nothing is filed there yet, so an empty row is a gap in our list, not an all-clear.

States

AK
ME
WI
VT
NH
WA
ID
MT
ND
MN
IL
MI
NY
MA
OR
NV
WY
SD
IA
IN
OH
PA
NJ
CT
RI
CA
UT
CO
NE
MO
KY
WV
VA
MD
DE
AZ
NM
KS
AR
TN
NC
SC
DC
OK
LA
MS
AL
GA
HI
TX
FL

Regions

  • Northeast
  • Midwest
  • South
  • West
Show the numbers
StatesForce and coercionControl of the processResults and legitimacyViolence and threatsFraud and deceptionTotal
Florida200002
California100001
Minnesota100001
Northeast000000
Midwest100001
South200002
West100001

These are the incidents we have observed and sourced, not a count of everything that has happened.

Developing Force and coercion Updated

Federal agents at polling places

Armed federal law enforcement, immigration agents, or prosecutors are sent to polling places or election offices. Federal law bars armed federal personnel from polls except to repel armed enemies of the United States, so a deployment would intimidate voters and election workers and invite legal challenge.

What has happened

  • Leon County's elections supervisor says two federal immigration vehicles sat at Tallahassee's busiest early voting site for ten minutes on Oct. 19 and filed an FBI complaint. Arlington County, Virginia sued in federal court Oct. 20 to bar armed agents from polls. Map stays at 3 states.
  • Masked, armed Border Patrol agents stopped a driver at the entrance of a Key Largo early voting site just before 1 p.m. Monroe County's elections supervisor called the stop unnecessary and said DHS had assured her it would not happen. DHS has not commented. Florida joins the map: 3 states.
  • Voting groups and Denver amended their lawsuit against armed federal agents at polling places, citing the Santa Maria arrest and immigration arrests near an early voting site in Hennepin County, Minnesota, and adding Hennepin County as a plaintiff.
  • An ICE spokesperson told Noozhawk the agency has no record of activity at Allan Hancock College. The college and the student's family say officers made the arrest. It remains disputed.
  • ICE officers detained a student's parent in a parking lot at Allan Hancock College in Santa Maria, California, around 9:45 a.m., the college says. Santa Barbara County's ballot drop boxes opened that day, including a walk-up box in another lot on the same campus. California joins the map.
  • The Justice Department ended primary season monitoring, reporting eleven states and hundreds of locations, against nine states in the 2022 midterms.
  • They did it before. On May 20, during early voting for the Texas runoff, ICE officers joined a state trooper's traffic stop in the lot of San Antonio's Las Palmas Library, a voting site, witnesses and KSAT report. Bexar County says voting was not disrupted. Not mapped. Map stays at 2 states.

Where it has been observed

  • Minnesota Developing
    • Federal immigration agents make arrests inside a building that holds an early voting site. Hennepin County Government Center, Minnesota

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How to read this map