Nonpartisan. Oath-bound. We endorse no candidate and no party.
The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.
15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 71 incidents observed in 34 states.
Incidents observed each week for this threat. Only incidents with a date are shown.
Fraud and deception is shown at zero on purpose. Nothing is filed there yet, so an empty row is a gap in our list, not an all-clear.
| Week beginning | Force and coercion | Control of the process | Results and legitimacy | Violence and threats | Fraud and deception | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1 observed line has no date yet, or is dated later, and is not shown.
These are the incidents we have observed and sourced, not a count of everything that has happened.
Unsupported claims of fraud are spread, including by officials, to make people accept federal intervention or to justify refusing a result. It is the groundwork for several other threats on this list.
No state is marked for this threat yet.
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