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Threat Map

The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.

15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 71 incidents observed in 34 states.

When incidents were observed

Incidents observed each week for this threat. Only incidents with a date are shown.

  • Force and coercion 1 threat, 3 incidents
  • Control of the process 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Results and legitimacy 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Violence and threats 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Fraud and deception 0 threats, 0 incidents

Fraud and deception is shown at zero on purpose. Nothing is filed there yet, so an empty row is a gap in our list, not an all-clear.

01IncidentsOct 5Oct 12Oct 19Oct 26Nov 2Election DayToday
Show the numbers
Week beginningForce and coercionControl of the processResults and legitimacyViolence and threatsFraud and deceptionTotal
Oct 5, 2026100001
Oct 12, 2026000000
Oct 19, 2026000000
Oct 26, 2026000000
Nov 2, 2026000000

2 observed lines have no date yet, or are dated later, and are not shown.

These are the incidents we have observed and sourced, not a count of everything that has happened.

Active Force and coercion Updated

National Guard at polling places

Troops are deployed to polling places, ballot drop boxes, or election offices. Federal law bars the military from civilian law enforcement, and using troops this way would likely require invoking the Insurrection Act. Even troops near a site who are not assigned there can deter voters.

What has happened

  • DC Attorney General Brian Schwalb issued an advisory warning federal agents and the National Guard not to interfere with the November election. No new Guard sightings at DC drop boxes or voting sites have been reported. Map stays at 1 state.
  • Allies working with 50501 Vets walked parts of DC and saw no Guard deliberately posted at drop boxes. This was an informal check, not a survey of every box.

Where it has been observed

  • District of Columbia Active since Oct 9, 2026
    • Armed National Guard members are photographed at a ballot drop box once voting has opened. Foggy Bottom ballot drop box, 23rd and I Streets NW, Washington, DC · Oct 9, 2026
    • Armed troops are filmed around a ballot drop box during an election. Washington, DC, at the June primary

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