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Threat Map

The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.

15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 73 incidents observed in 35 states.

Where incidents are concentrated

Each state shows the incidents observed for this threat. A taller column is more incidents.

  • Force and coercion 1 threat, 5 incidents
  • Control of the process 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Results and legitimacy 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Violence and threats 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Fraud and deception 0 threats, 0 incidents

Fraud and deception is shown at zero on purpose. Nothing is filed there yet, so an empty row is a gap in our list, not an all-clear.

States

AK
ME
WI
VT
NH
WA
ID
MT
ND
MN
IL
MI
NY
MA
OR
WY
SD
IA
IN
OH
PA
NJ
CT
RI
UT
CO
NE
MO
KY
WV
VA
MD
DE
NM
KS
AR
TN
NC
SC
DC
OK
LA
MS
AL
HI
TX
FL

Regions

  • Northeast
  • Midwest
  • South
  • West
Show the numbers
Where incidents are concentrated
StatesForce and coercionControl of the processResults and legitimacyViolence and threatsFraud and deceptionTotal
Arizona100001
California100001
Georgia100001
Nevada100001
Northeast000000
Midwest000000
South100001
West300003

These are the incidents we have observed and sourced, not a count of everything that has happened.

Active Force and coercion Updated

Seizure of ballots, machines or election materials

Law enforcement takes ballots, voting machines, or election records, on or around Election Day or afterward, often on a pretext. Election defense groups rank it among the most dangerous scenarios, since the disruption itself can be used to claim an election was compromised.

What has happened

  • Federal grand juries in San Diego sent the county registrar five subpoenas from May to September on 25 voters, one seeking a 2024 ballot. The county says it gave no ballots. Imperial County got a subpoena and a DHS summons. California joins the map: 4 states.
  • The FBI took more than three dozen hard drives and servers from the Arizona Senate's 2021 audit of Maricopa County's 2020 vote, under a federal grand jury subpoena. The original ballots were destroyed years ago under state law. Arizona joins the map: 3 states.

Where it has been observed

  • California Active
    • Federal prosecutors serve repeated grand jury subpoenas on a county election office for voter records, including one ballot. San Diego County Registrar of Voters, California: five subpoenas from May to September covering 25 voters

Open the full page Back to the national picture Show every state

How to read this map