Nonpartisan. Oath-bound. We endorse no candidate and no party.

  • Become a field reporter for the 50501 Veterans flagship podcast, "The Smoke Pit." Apply Now
Menu

Threat Map

The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.

15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 73 incidents observed in 35 states.

When incidents were observed

Incidents observed each week for this threat. Only incidents with a date are shown.

  • Force and coercion 1 threat, 5 incidents
  • Control of the process 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Results and legitimacy 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Violence and threats 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Fraud and deception 0 threats, 0 incidents

Fraud and deception is shown at zero on purpose. Nothing is filed there yet, so an empty row is a gap in our list, not an all-clear.

01IncidentsMar 2Apr 6May 11Jun 15Jul 20Aug 24Sep 28Nov 2Election DayToday
Show the numbers
Week beginningForce and coercionControl of the processResults and legitimacyViolence and threatsFraud and deceptionTotal
Mar 2, 2026100001
Mar 9, 2026000000
Mar 16, 2026000000
Mar 23, 2026000000
Mar 30, 2026000000
Apr 6, 2026000000
Apr 13, 2026000000
Apr 20, 2026000000
Apr 27, 2026000000
May 4, 2026000000
May 11, 2026000000
May 18, 2026000000
May 25, 2026000000
Jun 1, 2026000000
Jun 8, 2026000000
Jun 15, 2026000000
Jun 22, 2026000000
Jun 29, 2026000000
Jul 6, 2026000000
Jul 13, 2026000000
Jul 20, 2026000000
Jul 27, 2026000000
Aug 3, 2026000000
Aug 10, 2026000000
Aug 17, 2026000000
Aug 24, 2026000000
Aug 31, 2026000000
Sep 7, 2026000000
Sep 14, 2026000000
Sep 21, 2026000000
Sep 28, 2026000000
Oct 5, 2026000000
Oct 12, 2026000000
Oct 19, 2026000000
Oct 26, 2026000000
Nov 2, 2026000000

4 observed lines have no date yet, or are dated later, and are not shown.

These are the incidents we have observed and sourced, not a count of everything that has happened.

Active Force and coercion Updated

Seizure of ballots, machines or election materials

Law enforcement takes ballots, voting machines, or election records, on or around Election Day or afterward, often on a pretext. Election defense groups rank it among the most dangerous scenarios, since the disruption itself can be used to claim an election was compromised.

What has happened

  • Federal grand juries in San Diego sent the county registrar five subpoenas from May to September on 25 voters, one seeking a 2024 ballot. The county says it gave no ballots. Imperial County got a subpoena and a DHS summons. California joins the map: 4 states.
  • The FBI took more than three dozen hard drives and servers from the Arizona Senate's 2021 audit of Maricopa County's 2020 vote, under a federal grand jury subpoena. The original ballots were destroyed years ago under state law. Arizona joins the map: 3 states.

Where it has been observed

  • Nevada Developing
    • The Justice Department serves repeated subpoenas on a state election chief, most seeking voter data. Nevada Secretary of State's office, Nevada: seven subpoenas between June 16 and September 2

Open the full page Back to the national picture Show every state

How to read this map