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Threat Map

The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.

15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 71 incidents observed in 34 states.

Where this threat is: Federal agents at polling places

Choose a state to see what has been observed there. A state is marked only where an observed warning or indicator, with a source, places a threat in it.

Developing Force and coercion Updated

Federal agents at polling places

Armed federal law enforcement, immigration agents, or prosecutors are sent to polling places or election offices. Federal law bars armed federal personnel from polls except to repel armed enemies of the United States, so a deployment would intimidate voters and election workers and invite legal challenge.

What has happened

  • Leon County's elections supervisor says two federal immigration vehicles sat at Tallahassee's busiest early voting site for ten minutes on Oct. 19 and filed an FBI complaint. Arlington County, Virginia sued in federal court Oct. 20 to bar armed agents from polls. Map stays at 3 states.
  • Masked, armed Border Patrol agents stopped a driver at the entrance of a Key Largo early voting site just before 1 p.m. Monroe County's elections supervisor called the stop unnecessary and said DHS had assured her it would not happen. DHS has not commented. Florida joins the map: 3 states.
  • Voting groups and Denver amended their lawsuit against armed federal agents at polling places, citing the Santa Maria arrest and immigration arrests near an early voting site in Hennepin County, Minnesota, and adding Hennepin County as a plaintiff.
  • An ICE spokesperson told Noozhawk the agency has no record of activity at Allan Hancock College. The college and the student's family say officers made the arrest. It remains disputed.
  • ICE officers detained a student's parent in a parking lot at Allan Hancock College in Santa Maria, California, around 9:45 a.m., the college says. Santa Barbara County's ballot drop boxes opened that day, including a walk-up box in another lot on the same campus. California joins the map.
  • The Justice Department ended primary season monitoring, reporting eleven states and hundreds of locations, against nine states in the 2022 midterms.
  • They did it before. On May 20, during early voting for the Texas runoff, ICE officers joined a state trooper's traffic stop in the lot of San Antonio's Las Palmas Library, a voting site, witnesses and KSAT report. Bexar County says voting was not disrupted. Not mapped. Map stays at 2 states.

Where it has been observed

  • Florida Active since Oct 19, 2026
    • Armed federal immigration agents stop a driver at the entrance of an early voting site while voting is open. Murray Nelson Government Center, Key Largo, Florida (Monroe County early voting site, south entryway) · Oct 20, 2026
    • Federal immigration vehicles park at an early voting site while voting is open. Northeast Branch Library, Tallahassee, Florida (Leon County early voting site): two vehicles for about 10 minutes, no stop reported · Oct 19, 2026
  • California Developing since Oct 5, 2026
    • Federal immigration agents detain a person on a campus with an open ballot drop-off site, on the day drop boxes opened. Allan Hancock College, Santa Maria, California (arrest in Parking Lot 2; county drop box in Parking Lot 3) · Oct 5, 2026
  • Minnesota Developing
    • Federal immigration agents make arrests inside a building that holds an early voting site. Hennepin County Government Center, Minnesota

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