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Threat Map

The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.

15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 71 incidents observed in 34 states.

Where this threat is: Refusal to certify results

Choose a state to see what has been observed there. A state is marked only where an observed warning or indicator, with a source, places a threat in it.

Developing Results and legitimacy

Refusal to certify results

Local or state officials refuse or delay certifying results to stall the end of an election. Certification is a mandatory duty that courts can compel, so the harm is delay and doubt, not a changed result.

Where it has been observed

  • California Developing
    • An election official tries to stall the county declaration of a primary without a legal basis. Shasta County, California, at the June primary
  • New Mexico Developing
    • A local official says publicly they will not rule out refusing to certify. Otero County, New Mexico, where the county refused to certify in 2022

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How to read this map