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Threat Map

The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.

15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 71 incidents observed in 34 states.

When incidents were observed

Incidents observed each week for this threat. Only incidents with a date are shown.

  • Force and coercion 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Control of the process 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Results and legitimacy 1 threat, 2 incidents
  • Violence and threats 0 threats, 0 incidents
  • Fraud and deception 0 threats, 0 incidents

Fraud and deception is shown at zero on purpose. Nothing is filed there yet, so an empty row is a gap in our list, not an all-clear.

No dated incidents yet.

2 observed lines have no date yet, or are dated later, and are not shown.

These are the incidents we have observed and sourced, not a count of everything that has happened.

Developing Results and legitimacy

Refusal to certify results

Local or state officials refuse or delay certifying results to stall the end of an election. Certification is a mandatory duty that courts can compel, so the harm is delay and doubt, not a changed result.

Where it has been observed

  • California Developing
    • An election official tries to stall the county declaration of a primary without a legal basis. Shasta County, California, at the June primary

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How to read this map