Nonpartisan. Oath-bound. We endorse no candidate and no party.

  • Become a field reporter for the 50501 Veterans flagship podcast, "The Smoke Pit." Apply Now
Menu

Threat Map

The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.

15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 71 incidents observed in 34 states.

When incidents were observed

Incidents observed each week, by kind of threat. Only incidents with a date are shown.

  • Force and coercion 4 threats, 19 incidents
  • Control of the process 6 threats, 15 incidents
  • Results and legitimacy 3 threats, 5 incidents
  • Violence and threats 2 threats, 32 incidents
  • Fraud and deception 0 threats, 0 incidents

Fraud and deception is shown at zero on purpose. Nothing is filed there yet, so an empty row is a gap in our list, not an all-clear.

08162432IncidentsMar 2Apr 6May 11Jun 15Jul 20Aug 24Sep 28Nov 2Election DayToday
Show the numbers
Week beginningForce and coercionControl of the processResults and legitimacyViolence and threatsFraud and deceptionTotal
Mar 2, 2026100001
Mar 9, 2026000000
Mar 16, 2026000000
Mar 23, 2026000000
Mar 30, 2026000000
Apr 6, 2026000000
Apr 13, 2026000000
Apr 20, 2026000000
Apr 27, 2026000000
May 4, 2026000000
May 11, 2026000000
May 18, 2026000000
May 25, 2026000101
Jun 1, 2026000000
Jun 8, 2026100001
Jun 15, 2026000000
Jun 22, 2026000000
Jun 29, 2026000000
Jul 6, 2026010001
Jul 13, 2026000000
Jul 20, 2026000000
Jul 27, 2026000000
Aug 3, 2026000000
Aug 10, 2026000000
Aug 17, 2026000000
Aug 24, 2026000000
Aug 31, 2026010001
Sep 7, 2026100001
Sep 14, 2026000000
Sep 21, 2026000000
Sep 28, 2026000000
Oct 5, 2026410005
Oct 12, 202611127030
Oct 19, 2026230106
Oct 26, 2026000000
Nov 2, 2026000000

24 observed lines have no date yet, or are dated later, and are not shown.

These are the incidents we have observed and sourced, not a count of everything that has happened.

Observed in California

Each line below was observed in this state, with the sources on its threat page.

  • Active Voter data collected and used to remove voters

    • Indicators States are told to remove specific voters from the rolls close to an election. California: DOJ named about 20,000 voters, told the state to set aside their mail ballots, then sued. DOJ says it is not asking to purge the rolls. ·
    • Indicators Armed federal agents visit people at home to ask about their citizenship and whether they registered or voted. San Francisco Bay Area, California: HSI posted photos of agents knocking on doors in September ·

  • Active Threats of violence against polling places

    • Indicators Ballots are found fire-damaged inside a ballot drop box before an election. Drop box near Civic Center, downtown Los Angeles, two days before the June 2 primary. Reported to LAPD; no arrest announced ·

  • Developing Criminal charges used to influence election workers

    • Warnings Federal prosecutors warn local election officials they could face charges for counting certain ballots. Los Angeles County, California: DOJ letter to county counsel, copied to the Secretary of State and the county registrar ·

  • Developing Federal agents at polling places

    • Warnings Federal immigration agents detain a person on a campus with an open ballot drop-off site, on the day drop boxes opened. Allan Hancock College, Santa Maria, California (arrest in Parking Lot 2; county drop box in Parking Lot 3) ·

  • Developing Refusal to certify results

    • Warnings An election official tries to stall the county declaration of a primary without a legal basis. Shasta County, California, at the June primary

Show every state

How to read this map