Threat Map
The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.
15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 71 incidents observed in 34 states.
When incidents were observed
Incidents observed each week, by kind of threat. Only incidents with a date are shown.
- Force and coercion 4 threats, 19 incidents
- Control of the process 6 threats, 15 incidents
- Results and legitimacy 3 threats, 5 incidents
- Violence and threats 2 threats, 32 incidents
- Fraud and deception 0 threats, 0 incidents
Fraud and deception is shown at zero on purpose. Nothing is filed there yet, so an empty row is a gap in our list, not an all-clear.
Show the numbers
| Week beginning | Force and coercion | Control of the process | Results and legitimacy | Violence and threats | Fraud and deception | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Mar 30, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 6, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 13, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 20, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Apr 27, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 4, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 11, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 18, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| May 25, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jun 1, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 8, 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jun 15, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 22, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 29, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 6, 2026 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Jul 13, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 20, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 3, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 10, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 24, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 31, 2026 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 7, 2026 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 21, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 28, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 5, 2026 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Oct 12, 2026 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 0 | 30 |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Oct 26, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24 observed lines have no date yet, or are dated later, and are not shown.
These are the incidents we have observed and sourced, not a count of everything that has happened.
Observed in North Carolina
Each line below was observed in this state, with the sources on its threat page.
Active Mail ballots spoiled by late rule changes
- Indicators Mail ballots are rejected at a rate well above the last midterm because of the rule change. North Carolina, 27 of 100 counties: about 3%, double 2022; Mecklenburg and Forsyth 7 to 8% ·
- Warnings A state board changes how mail ballots are counted hours before ballots go out. North Carolina State Board of Elections, Sept. 4 memo, passed 3-2 on party lines ·
Active Threats of violence against polling places
- Indicators A voter is blocked and threatened at an early voting site, and a man is charged. Dobson early voting site, Surry County. A former county commission candidate faces disorderly conduct and election charges ·