Threat Map
The major threats to counting and certifying the vote that we are watching. For each one we list what would tell us it is developing and what would tell us it is happening, with the sources behind each. Tracked through January 6, 2027.
15 threats watched: 6 active, 7 developing, 2 watching. 71 incidents observed in 34 states.
Where incidents are concentrated
Each state shows the incidents observed in it, by kind of threat. A taller column is more incidents. Incidents with no state, such as federal-level actions, are not in any state.
- Force and coercion 4 threats, 19 incidents
- Control of the process 6 threats, 15 incidents
- Results and legitimacy 3 threats, 5 incidents
- Violence and threats 2 threats, 32 incidents
- Fraud and deception 0 threats, 0 incidents
Fraud and deception is shown at zero on purpose. Nothing is filed there yet, so an empty row is a gap in our list, not an all-clear.
States
Regions
- Northeast
- Midwest
- South
- West
Show the numbers
| States | Force and coercion | Control of the process | Results and legitimacy | Violence and threats | Fraud and deception | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| California | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| Georgia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| North Carolina | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Arizona | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Illinois | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Minnesota | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Nevada | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| New Jersey | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Ohio | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Pennsylvania | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| District of Columbia | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Florida | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Alaska | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Connecticut | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Delaware | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Idaho | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kansas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Kentucky | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Louisiana | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Maine | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Maryland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Massachusetts | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Mississippi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Nebraska | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| New Hampshire | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| New Mexico | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oklahoma | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Oregon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| South Dakota | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Tennessee | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Utah | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Virginia | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Washington | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Wisconsin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Northeast | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| Midwest | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 10 |
| South | 5 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 18 |
| West | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 16 |
These are the incidents we have observed and sourced, not a count of everything that has happened.
Observed in California
Each line below was observed in this state, with the sources on its threat page.
Active Voter data collected and used to remove voters
- Indicators States are told to remove specific voters from the rolls close to an election. California: DOJ named about 20,000 voters, told the state to set aside their mail ballots, then sued. DOJ says it is not asking to purge the rolls. ·
- Indicators Armed federal agents visit people at home to ask about their citizenship and whether they registered or voted. San Francisco Bay Area, California: HSI posted photos of agents knocking on doors in September ·
Active Threats of violence against polling places
- Indicators Ballots are found fire-damaged inside a ballot drop box before an election. Drop box near Civic Center, downtown Los Angeles, two days before the June 2 primary. Reported to LAPD; no arrest announced ·
Developing Criminal charges used to influence election workers
- Warnings Federal prosecutors warn local election officials they could face charges for counting certain ballots. Los Angeles County, California: DOJ letter to county counsel, copied to the Secretary of State and the county registrar ·
Developing Federal agents at polling places
- Warnings Federal immigration agents detain a person on a campus with an open ballot drop-off site, on the day drop boxes opened. Allan Hancock College, Santa Maria, California (arrest in Parking Lot 2; county drop box in Parking Lot 3) ·
Developing Refusal to certify results
- Warnings An election official tries to stall the county declaration of a primary without a legal basis. Shasta County, California, at the June primary